Thursday, April 4, 2019

How automation will affect jobs

Only a small fraction—perhaps one in twenty—job categories will be entirely eliminated in the next decade. Rather, the major action will take place at the level of the many individual tasks that make up any given job.

McKinsey suggests that most jobs (probably about 60 percent) have about 30 percent of their activities that could be automated. In other words, only a small number of today’s jobs will simply vanish. But most jobs will begin to look significantly different. It is more accurate, then, to speak not simply of jobs lost and gained, but also—and primarily—of jobs remade.

Most jobs will be “unbundled” and “rebundled.” Many jobs will absorb parts of the job above or below them on the totem pole, and most jobs will see substantial horizontal combination.
Source: Them by Senator Ben Sasse

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